China: investing in the world’s first electro-state
Following recent research trips, the Ninety One Global Environment team report back from the world’s first ‘electro-state’.
7 Apr 2025
11 minutes

Global equity markets diverged sharply in Q1 2025 as regional dynamics and policy responses shaped performance. The US market struggled, weighed down by renewed trade tensions, inflation concerns and the unwinding of big tech dominance. The S&P 500 posted its worst quarterly return in three years, while investor sentiment shifted toward more traditional sectors. In contrast, European equities delivered strong returns, buoyed by a structural shift in fiscal policy towards higher defence spending and relative economic resilience. UK equities followed suit, supported by large-cap banks and defence firms. South African markets stood out globally, fuelled by a powerful rally in precious metals and a robust resources sector. Meanwhile, Chinese equities rebounded on the back of economic stabilisation, stimulus measures and AI-driven tech optimism, despite persistent structural concerns. Emerging markets broadly outperformed their developed counterparts, with positive momentum driven by policy tailwinds, commodity strength and improved sentiment in key regions such as China, Brazil and Central Europe.
| Indices (total return in local currency) | |
|---|---|
| S&P 500 | -4.4% |
| Nasdaq Composite | -10.3% |
| MSCI ACWI | -1.3% |
| Nikkei 225 | -10.1% |
| EuroStoxx 600 | 5.2% |
| FTSE 100 | 6.1% |
| Hang Seng Index | 16.1% |
| SSE Composite | -0.5% |
Source: Bloomberg as at 31 March 2025.

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