Market review

November in review

November brought a shift in tone, with global equities pausing their seven-month ascent as valuation and policy risks reasserted themselves. Hawkish central-bank signals and fatigue in the AI trade weighed on markets mid-month, before softer data and a calmer Fed helped steady sentiment. Fixed income markets were mixed as shifting rate expectations pulled markets in different directions, while credit delivered gains despite strain in the riskiest segments. Gold remained supported and copper firmed on supply concerns.

5 Dec 2025

8 minutes

Chapters

01
Global equities
02
US
03
South Africa
04
China
05
Emerging markets
06
Europe and UK
07
EM fixed income
08
Global fixed income
09
Global credit
10
Commodities
01

Global equities

Shipping containers
Global equities pause their seven-month winning run

Global equities were flat in November, the first month since March that didn’t finish in the green. Things could have been worse, however. In the first half of the month, hawkish US Federal Reserve (Fed) rhetoric and sticky inflation data saw December rate-cut expectations unwind, triggering a substantial sell-off, compounded by concerns over AI valuations. However, that then reversed after further data – much of it delayed due to the longest government shutdown in US history – was softer than expected and Fed officials struck a more dovish tone, helping global indices claw back much of their mid-month decline.

Across markets, performance was mixed. European equities held up relatively well, supported by renewed optimism around a potential ceasefire in Ukraine after constructive signals from political leaders. UK assets were steadier, with the government’s Budget landing more smoothly with markets than many had expected. Japan, by contrast, saw a reversal of recent strength: a large fiscal package pushed government bond yields sharply higher, weighing on the Nikkei and extending the yen’s slide.

Emerging markets delivered another uneven month. Chinese equities drifted lower as sentiment remained fragile, not helped by property developer Vanke, which shocked creditors by proposing for the first time to delay paying a local bond. Elsewhere, performance was more robust, with Brazil once again among the stronger markets and parts of emerging Europe and Asia proving relatively resilient.

Indices (total return in local currency)
S&P 500 0.2%
Nasdaq Composite -1.5%
MSCI ACWI 0.0%
Nikkei 225 -4.1%
EuroStoxx 600 0.8%
FTSE 100 0.4%
Hang Seng Index -0.1%
SSE Composite -1.7%

Source: Bloomberg as at 30 November 2025.

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