Emerging Market Debt Indicator – February 2026
Reflections on developments across the EM Debt investment universe in February, with an update on portfolio positioning in the context of the current conflict in the Middle East.
27 Jun 2023
6 minutes
There was much fanfare around China reopening as we entered 2023, but as the macro headlines suggest, the recovery has been underwhelming. However, we don’t focus on the macro. We focus on the individual companies and how they’re operating.
To that end, I visited a number of our Quality holdings – particularly those that are generally less accessible virtually – in addition to some of their competitors and other companies on our bench.
This involved travelling to some of the more remote and less well-known places including Moutai Town, GuiYang, Chongqing Fuling County and Hefei, in addition to the better-known locations such as Shenzhen, Hangzhou and Hong Kong.
I made three key observations during my visit:
In this note, I dive into further detail on each observation, and share some anecdotes from my meetings with the companies.
From generic manufacturing to developing innovative medicines, China’s pharmaceutical industry is moving up the value chain, creating new opportunities for equity investors.
Our EM Debt team shares its latest outlook and positioning across the investment universe.
Our EM Debt team shares its latest outlook and positioning across the investment universe.
The headwinds facing EM debt today are cyclical and manageable, with mispricing and divergence across countries creating a fertile hunting ground for active investors. Crucially, the strength of structural tailwinds behind the asset class is undiminished.
Our EM Debt team shares its latest outlook and positioning across the investment universe.
Overlapping pressures across agriculture, fertiliser and energy markets could create fresh inflationary risks this year, with wide ranging implications for commodity markets, monetary policy and emerging market assets.
Recent election results point to a political pivot with positive implications for debt markets. Dynamics in this key region are reflective of broader shifts across the maturing EM debt market.
Our EM Debt team shares its latest outlook and positioning across the investment universe.
As global investors reassess their allocations, emerging markets are entering the second half of the year from a position of genuine strength.
Our EM Debt team shares its latest outlook and positioning across the investment universe.
Frontier markets are increasingly relevant for today’s portfolios, but expertise and conviction are vital for successful investment outcomes.
Our EM Debt team shares its latest outlook and positioning across the investment universe.
Three members of our EM Debt team went to Washington, DC – we asked them to share their highlights and pointers for investors, including a behind-the-scenes perspective on this important annual event.
Pressure is building in US private debt as weaker underwriting standards, rising defaults and AI-disruption risks combine to create a perfect storm. In contrast, investors in emerging markets can access asset-heavy borrowers, in deal structures that offer higher senior-secured yields and stronger protections.
Oil shocks don’t just disrupt, they accelerate change. Higher prices and energy insecurity are fast-tracking the shift to electrification and clean technology, led by emerging markets.
Reflections on developments across the EM Debt investment universe in March, and the EM Debt team's latest outlook and positioning.
Reflections on developments across the EM Debt investment universe in February, with an update on portfolio positioning in the context of the current conflict in the Middle East.
Our EM Debt team shares its latest outlook and positioning across the investment universe.
Sahil Mahtani, Director of Ninety One’s Investment Institute, and Paul Gooden, Portfolio Manager for Global Natural Resources, discuss Venezuela and broader energy themes following the Goldman Sachs Global Energy Conference in Miami.
After a year that pushed emerging market (EM) debt further into the mainstream, opportunities to capture alpha persist across regions and instruments.

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