24 Jul 2024
13 minutes
Elections often move markets. This year, eight of the world’s 10 most-populous nations go to the polls in the same year for the first time ever. FX markets are often the best way to express views or hedge positions in and around elections, and FX volatility presents a source of potential alpha. We have produced this piece to help investors navigate this year. The year of the ballot.
It has been another strong year for EM equities, which has left many investors pondering where exactly we are in this cycle. Archie Hart and Varun Laijawalla explain why there is scope to capture a re-rating that they believe has considerable upside from here.
The headwinds facing EM debt today are cyclical and manageable, with mispricing and divergence across countries creating a fertile hunting ground for active investors. Crucially, the strength of structural tailwinds behind the asset class is undiminished.
Our EM Debt team shares its latest outlook and positioning across the investment universe.
Overlapping pressures across agriculture, fertiliser and energy markets could create fresh inflationary risks this year, with wide ranging implications for commodity markets, monetary policy and emerging market assets.
For years, capital has gravitated to the US. A one-way trade powered by tech dominance and economic heft. But as the world tilts on its axis, the next cycle is unlikely to resemble the last, and the investment map is beginning to redraw itself.
Recent election results point to a political pivot with positive implications for debt markets. Dynamics in this key region are reflective of broader shifts across the maturing EM debt market.
Our EM Debt team shares its latest outlook and positioning across the investment universe.
As global investors reassess their allocations, emerging markets are entering the second half of the year from a position of genuine strength.
Our EM Debt team shares its latest outlook and positioning across the investment universe.
As war in the Middle East adds to a series of global supply shocks, emerging markets are showing growing resilience in an increasingly multipolar world.
Frontier markets are increasingly relevant for today’s portfolios, but expertise and conviction are vital for successful investment outcomes.
Our EM Debt team shares its latest outlook and positioning across the investment universe.
Three members of our EM Debt team went to Washington, DC – we asked them to share their highlights and pointers for investors, including a behind-the-scenes perspective on this important annual event.
Pressure is building in US private debt as weaker underwriting standards, rising defaults and AI-disruption risks combine to create a perfect storm. In contrast, investors in emerging markets can access asset-heavy borrowers, in deal structures that offer higher senior-secured yields and stronger protections.
Oil shocks don’t just disrupt, they accelerate change. Higher prices and energy insecurity are fast-tracking the shift to electrification and clean technology, led by emerging markets.
Reflections on developments across the EM Debt investment universe in March, and the EM Debt team's latest outlook and positioning.
Shifting asset class behaviour is forcing a rethink of allocation approaches and fuelling demand for greater diversification. In this context, emerging market debt is highly relevant, but implementation is key.
EM debt has become an important component of the global debt market. The transformation has resulted in robust credit quality across a highly diverse opportunity set that’s ripe with alpha-capture potential.
Reflections on developments across the EM Debt investment universe in February, with an update on portfolio positioning in the context of the current conflict in the Middle East.
Market conditions appear to be shifting in favour of emerging market equities. We explore how to structure an allocation to achieve broad exposure to the return-potential of the asset class while managing risks.
Market and portfolio insights, webinars & events curated from across our investment teams to help you steer through changing investment landscapes.
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