The year of the ballot
Elections often move markets. This year, eight of the world’s 10 most-populous nations go to the polls in the same year for the first time ever. FX markets are often the best way to express views or hedge positions in and around elections, and FX volatility presents a source of potential alpha. We have produced this piece to help investors navigate this year. The year of the ballot.
Emerging Market Debt Indicator – September 2026
Our EM Debt team shares its latest outlook and positioning across the investment universe.
Talking EM equities
A trip to the US over the summer to speak with allocators highlighted strong interest in EM equities. But it also flagged important questions about investing in this dynamic and recently underexplored part of the stock market.
Emerging Market Debt Indicator – August 2026
Our EM Debt team shares its latest outlook and positioning across the investment universe.
EM technology: a volatile but integral part of AI’s future
EM equity gains in 2026 have been narrow, concentrated in AI-driven information technology. Archie Hart and Varun Laijawalla explain why this memory upcycle looks structurally different to previous ones, with recent earnings from the key players supporting a fundamentals story. They believe the theme is early, rather than exhausted.
EM still in its multi-year ascent
It has been another strong year for EM equities, which has left many investors pondering where exactly we are in this cycle. Archie Hart and Varun Laijawalla explain why there is scope to capture a re-rating that they believe has considerable upside from here.
Emerging market debt – navigating headwinds, eyeing the horizon
The headwinds facing EM debt today are cyclical and manageable, with mispricing and divergence across countries creating a fertile hunting ground for active investors. Crucially, the strength of structural tailwinds behind the asset class is undiminished.
Emerging Market Debt Indicator - July 2026
Our EM Debt team shares its latest outlook and positioning across the investment universe.
A prolonged El Niño could complicate the path back to lower inflation
Overlapping pressures across agriculture, fertiliser and energy markets could create fresh inflationary risks this year, with wide ranging implications for commodity markets, monetary policy and emerging market assets.
Beyond the one-way trade
For years, capital has gravitated to the US. A one-way trade powered by tech dominance and economic heft. But as the world tilts on its axis, the next cycle is unlikely to resemble the last, and the investment map is beginning to redraw itself.
Lessons from Latin America’s elections extend far beyond the ballot
Recent election results point to a political pivot with positive implications for debt markets. Dynamics in this key region are reflective of broader shifts across the maturing EM debt market.
Emerging Market Debt Indicator – June 2026
Our EM Debt team shares its latest outlook and positioning across the investment universe.
The bull case for emerging markets just got stronger
As global investors reassess their allocations, emerging markets are entering the second half of the year from a position of genuine strength.
Emerging Market Debt Indicator – May 2026
Our EM Debt team shares its latest outlook and positioning across the investment universe.
Resilience and divergence: emerging markets are forging ahead in a new era for investors
As war in the Middle East adds to a series of global supply shocks, emerging markets are showing growing resilience in an increasingly multipolar world.
Global Frontier Debt: understanding – and navigating – an increasingly relevant asset class
Frontier markets are increasingly relevant for today’s portfolios, but expertise and conviction are vital for successful investment outcomes.
Emerging Market Debt Indicator – April 2026
Our EM Debt team shares its latest outlook and positioning across the investment universe.
Boots on the ground: a different perspective on the IMF Spring Meetings
Three members of our EM Debt team went to Washington, DC – we asked them to share their highlights and pointers for investors, including a behind-the-scenes perspective on this important annual event.
Private debt: hidden strengths in emerging markets
Pressure is building in US private debt as weaker underwriting standards, rising defaults and AI-disruption risks combine to create a perfect storm. In contrast, investors in emerging markets can access asset-heavy borrowers, in deal structures that offer higher senior-secured yields and stronger protections.
Hidden GEMs: Why the oil shock could accelerate the energy transition
Oil shocks don’t just disrupt, they accelerate change. Higher prices and energy insecurity are fast-tracking the shift to electrification and clean technology, led by emerging markets.
Emerging Market Debt Indicator – March 2026
Reflections on developments across the EM Debt investment universe in March, and the EM Debt team's latest outlook and positioning.