Resilience and divergence: emerging markets are forging ahead in a new era for investors
As war in the Middle East adds to a series of global supply shocks, emerging markets are showing growing resilience in an increasingly multipolar world.
Private debt: hidden strengths in emerging markets
Pressure is building in US private debt as weaker underwriting standards, rising defaults and AI-disruption risks combine to create a perfect storm. In contrast, investors in emerging markets can access asset-heavy borrowers, in deal structures that offer higher senior-secured yields and stronger protections.
Hidden GEMs: Why the oil shock could accelerate the energy transition
Oil shocks don’t just disrupt, they accelerate change. Higher prices and energy insecurity are fast-tracking the shift to electrification and clean technology, led by emerging markets.
An abundance of untapped opportunities
Structural growth drivers remain strong in this increasingly relevant – and in focus – part of the global private credit market. In addition, developments in the renewable energy sector and AI are giving rise to a new cohort of investment opportunities. The deal pipeline continues to expand across the EM universe.
Emerging Markets Transition Debt: hidden strengths in overlooked places
As cracks emerge in the world’s largest private credit market, it’s a good moment to look closely at the private loans in our Emerging Markets Transition Debt (EMTD) portfolio. Using recent case studies, we show how these loans combine attractive yields with meaningful downside protection.
The shrinking upside in the dollar story
Our research offers three reasons why the dollar’s upside is limited, while the balance of risks increasingly point lower.
The unstoppable dollar meets the immovable Mr Trump
Dollar cycles are longer than others because four self-reinforcing forces create inertia. They rarely reverse unless all four turn at once. Trump-era policies, fiscal strain and shifting global capital could trigger such a convergence.
Beyond the one-way trade
For years, capital has gravitated to the US. A one-way trade powered by tech dominance and economic heft. But as the world tilts on its axis, the next cycle is unlikely to resemble the last, and the investment map is beginning to redraw itself.
Net-zero investing: searching for returns and real-world change
Shifting from reducing financed emissions to financing reduced emissions. Using practical examples, this paper sets out how we can evolve the approach to net-zero investing to achieve the dual objectives of delivering decarbonisation in the real economy while optimising returns for clients and beneficiaries.
Tackling tariff risks
With US trade tariff-related uncertainty now top-of-mind for investors, Thys Louw and Aurelie Martin present our proprietary framework for assessing sovereign vulnerability, and explain how tariff-related market volatility could present investment opportunities.
Emerging markets and the transition finance opportunity
Matt Christ and Karen Shackleton discuss the relevance of emerging markets for the global transition to net zero.
What the US election means for emerging markets investors
A shift in gear or more of the same? Portfolio managers Archie Hart and Thys Louw consider the implications of Trump’s election victory for emerging markets and discuss what it means for investors.
A new capex supercycle: driving powerful and transformative growth
Over the next decade a combination of the energy transition, nearshoring, geopolitics, demographics, technology, and public investment spending could trigger a capex supercycle that would see capex growing 2-3 percentage points faster than global GDP.
The power of debt to catalyse change
Portfolio Manager, Matt Christ, shares an example of how financing projects in emerging markets can contribute to meaningful, real-world impact.
Exploring Opportunities in Emerging Market Debt
Deep dive into emerging market debt with Erin Lefkowitz, Senior Fixed Income Portfolio Manager at Mercer and leaders from Ninety One’s EM Fixed Income platform, Victoria Harling and Peter Kent.
A structural investment theme poised for lift-off
Despite the higher cost of capital, healthy levels of transition-related activity are continuing in emerging markets. This translates into a growing opportunity set for investors.
The building blocks of the energy transition and the important role of institutional capital
Many allocators we speak to understand the 'why' but ask 'how' assets can be mobilised to support the energy transition in emerging markets, while also contributing to return targets.
It’s time for implementation at COP. Or, at least, that’s what we’re hoping for
Our Chief Sustainability Officer, Nazmeera Moola, anticipates COP28.
Future Leaders Forum: Demystifying the transition
Future Leaders Forum is back for 2023. For our first event, we cut through the noise around transition finance and provided the tools needed to be part of these crucial conversations.
In conversation: A disorderly transition
To get to net-zero we have to finance the high emitting sectors and regions from a state of high carbon to a state of low carbon. The path to getting there is not simple or clear. Head of Thematic Equity Tom Nelson and Sustainability Specialist Annika Brouwer discuss the disorderly transition that is underway.