An attractive alternative to the concentrated trade
The UK equity market had a resurgent 2025, but it’s unclear where leadership will lie this year. Quality and Value may have had differing return profiles in 2025, but we firmly believe they are complementary active approaches to investing within the UK. With differentiated drivers of potential return, they can add significant diversification benefits to investors’ portfolios.
The great rebalancing
A new cycle reshaping global equity leadership.
The shrinking upside in the dollar story
Our research offers three reasons why the dollar’s upside is limited, while the balance of risks increasingly point lower.
All or nothing
People tend to underestimate the risk of losing everything. To maximise long-term compounding, every investor should take care to mitigate the risk of going bust.
The wisdom of Wonko the Sane
The start of a new year is an excellent time for investors to challenge their preconceptions. Wonko the Sane, a character in a Douglas Adams novel, summarised perfectly why doing so can pay dividends.
The lessons only experience can teach
At an uncertain juncture in markets, this may be a good time for investors to reflect on the hard lessons that only the experience of living through a grinding bear market can teach.
It’s in the price
The market predictably over- and under-reacts to short-term news. But while this creates opportunities for patient investors, be wary of those who claim you can make short-term trading profits.
Do we misvalue careers?
A conversation with some bright young people led to introspection about how society values careers in financial services – and why it isn’t only financial markets that can be poor judges of value.
The market is predictably unpredictable
Stock markets have been bouncing around in response to interest-rate and other ‘big picture’ events. Value investors should not get sucked into market-based forecasting. It is often an exercise in futility.
Value insights: Can AI hallucinate?
The latest developments in artificial intelligence are impressive. However, as with investors, the way AI systems ‘think’ imposes limits on their abilities and leaves them prone to error.
Value insights: Stickyflation
This year’s rally appears based on the assumption that inflation will quickly dissipate. However, the ‘sticky’ components of inflation are proving stickier than expected. It’s worth remembering that markets are notoriously bad at recognising turning points.
Value insights: When pricing power becomes a superpower
For long-term investors, pricing power and brand equity can be highly desirable qualities in a business. Value investors should keep them on their radar, for when the price is right.
Value insights: ‘Brilliant leader’ stories can lead investors down the garden path
Be wary of ‘management stories’: investment cases predicated on a brilliant leader making a transformational difference. Exceptional leaders exist, but they are rare beasts.
Value insights: popular delusions
Long-ago events can teach investors useful lessons about human behaviour, particularly people’s tendency to overreact to both good and bad news.
Value insights: A winning combination
An undervalued stock market in tandem with an undervalued currency can be a winning combination for investors. On this basis, Europe, Japan and the UK are screening cheaply at present.
Value insights: TINA no more
Our brains are hard-wired to dislike doubt and seek consistency, which makes us slow to recognise when the market narrative really has changed. A hint for investors: this may be a good moment to check whether these ancient biases are clouding their judgment.
Value insights: Markets as complex adaptive systems
Understanding markets as ‘complex adaptive systems’ – which function like ant colonies, rather than the efficient mechanisms of orthodox theory – has profound implications for the way you invest.
Value insights: The investment banking sausage
The potential for companies to be taken over at low-ball valuations is a perennial risk for investors, but one that is more acute in cyclical downturns. There are ways to mitigate the risk.
Value insights: Shall we talk about Twitter?
The on/off Twitter buyout is a curious twist on the (post?) modern valuation theory that, in today’s markets, “things are valuable not based on their cashflows but on their proximity to Elon Musk”.
Value insights: do something!
As a tragic tale of America’s opioid crisis lays bare, incumbency and inertia can be potent forces. Investors should watch out for them in markets.