2020 M04 24
2020 had generally been expected to be a year of earnings growth for most markets. This earnings growth story has been derailed by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and we expect earnings growth to weaken this year, with cuts already evident in first-quarter earnings.
Several extremes in markets have emerged from the hit to global economic growth, exacerbated by the lowest oil prices ever seen. Never has there been such a global coordination of mandated economic inactivity, bringing businesses and activity to an abrupt halt. However, there has been an equally unprecedented monetary and policy stimulus response. Nevertheless, it is clear that the pandemic will have a profound effect on people’s lives, and on the prospects for companies big and small around the globe.
In this market setting, our analyst team is re-evaluating each of our companies on their credit worthiness and their individual investment case in the new environment. In our view, it is in such tumultuous times that a consistent, repeatable approach helps to guide us. We are working hard to assess where the risks and opportunities may lie, in particular what the future may hold for companies’ end- markets.
In this viewpoint, we share our sector analysts’ insights on the impact of the coronavirus outbreak on companies’ prospects.
All investments carry the risk of capital loss. The value of investments, and any income generated from them, can fall as well as rise and will be affected by changes in interest rates, currency fluctuations, general market conditions and other political, social and economic developments, as well as by specific matters relating to the assets in which the investment strategy invests. If any currency differs from the investor’s home currency, returns may increase or decrease as a result of currency fluctuations. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.