Investing for a responsible transition

This portal explains transition investing, how we address transition risk, and illustrates investment opportunities in a shift to a low-carbon economy.

What is transition investing?

The term ‘transition investing’ describes the allocation of capital to companies, projects and ventures which have chosen to shift from higher-carbon to lower-carbon business models or companies that provide the products and services to support that transition.

With an annual funding gap of US$850bn for emerging markets and developing economies, transition investing presents a meaningful investment opportunity for our clients.

Investing in a transition is not about excluding or cutting off financing to companies with high emissions. Transition investing covers allocations to industries and infrastructure ease an energy transition as well as to high-emitting sectors that require financing to implement their climate strategies. Critical to transition investors is having a credible way to determine which companies can transition.

Investing in a transition can take the form of equity or debt, as well as project financing.

Recognising that the transition towards a net zero emissions economy affects many sectors, as active owners, we engage with companies to address carbon-related risks and opportunities.

Our primary goal, here and across all our strategies, is to achieve the most favourable long-term investment outcomes.

By allocating capital and engaging in this way we can help avoid a disorderly, and more costly, transition to a low carbon economy.

Approaches to investing for a responsible transition

Climate solutions are investments in companies focused on addressing structural growth opportunities linked to decarbonisation and environmental sustainability. This includes investing in infrastructure transformations that support emissions reduction, such as upgrading electrical power grids and modernising transmission systems. Climate solutions also cover innovative decarbonisation technologies and projects, including the development of green hydrogen, an essential fuel source for sectors that cannot be easily electrified directly, and carbon capture and storage (CCS), which is crucial for addressing emissions from sectors with limited decarbonisation alternatives. By allocating capital to these climate solutions, investors contribute to decarbonisation and have the potential to achieve long-term commercial returns as the global economy transitions.

1. Climate solutions

Climate solutions are investments in companies focused on addressing structural growth opportunities linked to decarbonisation and environmental sustainability. This includes investing in infrastructure transformations that support emissions reduction, such as upgrading electrical power grids and modernising transmission systems. Climate solutions also cover innovative decarbonisation technologies and projects, including the development of green hydrogen, an essential fuel source for sectors that cannot be easily electrified directly, and carbon capture and storage (CCS), which is crucial for addressing emissions from sectors with limited decarbonisation alternatives. By allocating capital to these climate solutions, investors contribute to decarbonisation and have the potential to achieve long-term commercial returns as the global economy transitions.

2. Enabling the transition

Enabling the transition involves financing high-emitting sectors that require capital to implement credible climate transition plans. This investment approach targets sectors such as steel, cement, and chemicals, where emissions reduction is challenging due to technological or economic constraints. Allocating capital to these sectors supports their efforts to adopt sustainable technologies, such as carbon capture and storage, green hydrogen-based processes, and other low-carbon innovations. Investing in this manner contributes to necessary emissions reductions. It enables industries critical to the global economy to successfully navigate their transition towards net-zero emissions, offering potentially attractive returns in the long term.

3. Transition in EM

  • EM economies account for over 60% of today’s emissions but are on a trajectory to represent 90% of emissions growth to 2030. A key reason for this is that country commitments to the transition to net zero vary. In contrast, many EM corporates see this as a business imperative and a way to create a durable, competitive advantage. They are looking to be ahead of legislation or government action and to build low-risk business models.
  • Among both high emitters and solution providers, many EM companies are looking to finance the climate-oriented evolution of their businesses with credit. These companies are often competing in global markets and rely on financing solutions both from traditional channels (e.g., banks) and, increasingly, through public and private credit markets, creating a compelling opportunity for debt investors.

4. Engaging on transition risk

At Ninety One, we recognise that climate change represents a systemic and material risk to economies and financial markets. We therefore support global efforts to reduce emissions in line with the goals of the Paris Agreement and are signatories to the Net Zero Asset Managers initiative. As the global economy transitions to a low-carbon future, policy, technology, and market changes present risks to companies dependent on fossil fuels. We actively engage with the highest-emitting companies in our portfolios to support an orderly transition, ensuring they take appropriate action to address transition risks and deliver returns through the transition to global net-zero emissions. We use our proprietary Transition Plan Assessment Framework to assess whether companies have appropriately ambitious, credible, and financially viable plans, and to monitor their progress in implementing actions to achieve these plans.

Accessing transition investments

At Ninety One, we believe the energy transition is creating a multi-year, structural investment opportunity—as well as the chance to help drive towards a clean-energy future.

Emerging market (EM) corporate debt is at the heart of the transition finance opportunity.
Find out about our transition investment solutions.

Find out how Ninety One is incorporating ‘transition’ into its investment research and analysis.

Read the paper

Important Information

This communication is provided for general information only should not be construed as advice.

All the information in is believed to be reliable but may be inaccurate or incomplete. The views are those of the contributor at the time of publication and do not necessary reflect those of Ninety One.

Any opinions stated are honestly held but are not guaranteed and should not be relied upon.

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