Emerging Markets Transition Debt: Transition report 2025

Practical insights into how the portfolio promotes real-world transition to a low-carbon world.

Transition report 2025

Welcome


Decarbonisation is fertile ground for commercial capital.

Welcome to our inaugural annual transition report for the Emerging Markets Transition Debt strategy. We launched the strategy to address a fundamental gap in global climate finance through commercially compelling investments.

Reflecting on the strategy’s first full year of investing, the backdrop has shifted dramatically. While developed markets are moving more slowly on the energy transition, emerging markets are surprising dramatically to the upside. Crucially, this progress is being driven by economics rather than policy. Clean technologies have become the cheapest options for emerging markets’ economic and sustainable development.

For investors, this matters. Improved economics have expanded the commercial opportunity set in emerging markets. We see potential in renewable generation, energy storage, transmission infrastructure and distributed power. We also see it in the digital and operating infrastructure that supports these systems.

Another area of investment focus relates to the rising electricity demand from data centres – we favour companies that source their power sustainably and use it efficiently. Meanwhile, in transportation we have financed two of the largest producers of electric vehicle batteries. We have also financed a large renewable generator that is expanding into green molecules. These technologies aim to provide more efficient long-duration storage solutions for heavy industry and long-haul transportation.

On behalf of the portfolio management team, we look forward to another year of demonstrating decarbonisation to be fertile ground for commercial capital and updating investors on the growing pipeline of private-market deals in the portfolio.

Matt Christ
Matt Christ

Managing Principal1

See full bio

1 Wider portfolio management team: Victoria Harling, Alan Siow, Nathaniel Micklem, Olivia Carballo, Martijn Proos.

Transition dashboard

Report highlights


Below you can see various snapshots of the portfolio through a transition lens and a country case study that uses current investments to illustrate the breadth of the investment opportunity set. For definitions of all the key terms and metrics covered in this report, please see here.

Projected gross cumulative carbon mitigated to 2030
817m tCO₂e, of which:

Carbon
reduced

473m

tCO₂e

Carbon
avoided

344m

tCO₂e

Proportion of portfolio (ex-cash)2

Sustainable investments3

100%

Carbon reduced investments with approved or committed to science-based targets

62%

Green or sustainability-linked investments

51%
Portfolio (ex-cash) breakdown by carbon mitigation
 
 
 

54%
Carbon reduced

38%
Carbon avoided

8%
Both

Financed emissions4
916k tCO₂e, of which:

163k

tCO₂e

Scope 1 and 2

753k

tCO₂e

Scope 3

Portfolio (ex-cash) breakdown by transition classification
Breakdown of gross cumulative carbon mitigated to 2030 by transition classification (tCO2e)
Carbon reduced Carbon avoided
Committed to transition 429m 0m
Transition enabler 44m 192m
Transitioning 0m 151m
Total 473m 344m

2 As at 30 June 2025, cash = 15.3% of portfolio.
3 As defined under Article 2(17) of EU SFDR. The EMTD operates in line with Article 8 with a 51% minimum proportion of Sustainable Investments. Totals may not sum exactly due to rounding.
4 Emissions that are attributable to the capital provided to companies and assets via the portfolio’s investments.

Case study: Brazil

Decarbonising Brazil's energy value chain; from extraction to consumption

Decarbonising Brazil's energy value chain; from extraction to consumption

1. Low-carbon extraction of transition minerals

Net Zero committed Nexa Resources has an ambition to be a world leader in low emissions zinc production.

0.03m

Carbon reduced to 2030

2. Generation of low-carbon power

Through Project LatAm Solar, we are investing in the largest solar manufacturer outside of China. The company is building out 11 utility-scale solar assets.

2.0m

Carbon avoided to 2030

3. Transmitting power from source to use

Project Connect Brazil is part of the expansion of a more sustainable Brazilian grid by financing a company that manufactures aluminium rods and wirelines for the local transmission and distribution sector.

17.3m

Carbon avoided to 2030

4. Low carbon data centres

Project LatAm Data is meeting the data centre need in Brazil and beyond with a sustainable, long-term solution. The company is committed to 100% renewable power usage across its platform.

0.04m

Carbon reduced to 2030

This is not a buy, sell or hold recommendation for any particular security.

Explore the full transition report

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Important Information

This communication is provided for general information only should not be construed as advice.

All the information in is believed to be reliable but may be inaccurate or incomplete. The views are those of the contributor at the time of publication and do not necessary reflect those of Ninety One.

Any opinions stated are honestly held but are not guaranteed and should not be relied upon.

All rights reserved. Issued by Ninety One.

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