Planetary Pulse | Chapter 1

Early steps towards transition

In our survey of senior executives from asset owners around the world, 60% of respondents say that fighting climate change is one of their fund’s strategic objectives.

17 Oct 2022

2 minutes

In our survey of senior executives from asset owners around the world, 60% of respondents say that fighting climate change is one of their fund’s strategic objectives. About half (51%) say their fund has emissions-reduction targets in place.

This is an encouraging picture at one level: it shows that the majority are doing something in response to climate-related risks and opportunities. But it is less positive when we look for real-world impact. Only about one in five (19%) say they use transition finance to any extent, and fewer still say that their fund invests in transition-finance assets in emerging markets (16%), the regions where emissions and populations are growing the fastest.

Emerging markets present an enormous challenge – and opportunity. But currently, asset owners with a climate agenda are more likely to be using other investment approaches.

Five of these stand out:

Portfolio construction / reweighting
to achieve overall climate-related target(s) (used by 47%)

Active engagement
directly influencing the decisions of invested companies (47%)

Adoption of climate-related themes
e.g. mandates focused on renewable energy and green bonds (45%)

Climate-related factor integration
including sustainable investing indicators in fundamental analysis (45%)

Positive screening
seeking exposure to investments with positive climate-related characteristics (44%)

Although about half (52%) of respondents believe that transition finance is a major commercial opportunity for asset owners, and 60% believe that transition finance will grow rapidly over the next three years, our research suggests that transition finance needs to grow much faster.

Despite more than half of the asset owners believing in the commercial opportunity, just 35% say that their organisation is likely to make transition-finance investments in the next 12 months, 20% say they are researching opportunities in transition finance, and only 8% are building their internal capabilities in transition finance.

Are asset owners investing in net zero?

We asked asset owners what proportion of their AUM is currently invested in portfolios with climate-related instructions or objectives.

In the diagram below, we show the distribution of responses in yellow, where the vast majority (nearly 90%) of asset owners indicate less than half of of their AUM includes climate-related instructions. Significantly, 46% have less than a quarter in these allocations.

Just over 10% of asset owners said more than half of their AUM was invested in portfolios including climate-related instructions. This includes less than one percent with more than three quarters.

Then we asked respondents to look forward to 2025 and provide their expectations on how these investments might change.

By 2025, respondents anticipate a material increase in the level of AUM with climate-related instructions. The distribution of responses shown in the diagram in grey, shifts to the right. Instead of 10% with more than half their AUM in these strategies, this could be more than 20% in 2025.

This type of shift is evident throughout with only a handful of respondents expecting to have less than a quarter of their assets with climate-related instructions.

Expectations in 2025 show a meaningful shift in the proportion of AUM allocated to climate-related strategies.

Proportion of asset owners’ climate-related AUM vs Expectations in 2025

 

Next chapter:

Beating the barriers

Why are asset owners not more invested in transition finance?

Read the next chapter Planetary Pulse home

Resources

Download the report and infographic to reveal what transition finance means for asset owners and its role in the path to net zero.

Download Planetary Pulse report Download infographic

Important information
The information in this report may cover general market activity or industry trends and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice. The economic and market views presented herein reflect Ninety One’s judgment as at the date shown and are subject to change without notice.

There is no guarantee that views and opinions expressed will be correct, and Ninety One’s intentions to buy or sell particular securities in the future may change. The investment views, analysis and market opinions expressed may not reflect those of Ninety One as a whole, and different views may be expressed based on different investment objectives. Ninety One has prepared this communication based on internally developed data, public and third party sources. Although we believe the information obtained from public and third party sources to be reliable, it may not have been independently verified, and we cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Ninety One’s internal data may not be audited.

Except as otherwise authorised, this information may not be shown, copied, transmitted, or otherwise given to any third party without Ninety One’s prior written consent. © 2022 Ninety One. All rights reserved. Issued by Ninety One October 2022.